Renewable energy subsidy gap 80 billion photovoltaic power generation prices have changed

Renewable Energy Subsidy Gaps 80 Billion Recently, the Chinese State Council released a significant policy document titled "Several Opinions on Promoting the Healthy Development of the Photovoltaic Industry." This policy not only increased the target for photovoltaic power generation from 21 GW to 35 GW in the "12th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Development," but also provided clearer guidelines for distributed generation, large-scale PV plant construction, and the gradual expansion of international markets. The move signals a stronger commitment to renewable energy, but experts have raised concerns about the financial challenges that come with such ambitious goals. According to calculations, by 2015, the national renewable energy development—including hydropower, wind, solar, and biomass—will face an annual funding gap of approximately 80 billion yuan. To bridge this gap, the additional renewable energy price surcharge must be doubled from 0.8 cents to 1.6 cents per kilowatt-hour. This raises questions about how the government will manage these rising costs while ensuring stable support for the industry. In addition, a new policy titled "Notice on Perfecting PV Power Pricing Policy" is expected to be announced soon. It outlines four regional benchmark on-grid tariffs for large-scale photovoltaic projects: 0.8 yuan/kWh, 0.9 yuan/kWh, 1 yuan/kWh, and 1.1 yuan/kWh. Distributed photovoltaic systems will receive a subsidy of 0.45 yuan/kWh. These measures aim to make solar energy more competitive and ensure that investors can plan their returns accurately. The release of the State Council’s "Opinions" sent a positive signal to the market, with photovoltaic-related stocks surging immediately. Analysts believe that the document addresses key issues in the industry, including overcapacity, lack of domestic demand, weak technological innovation, and an unstable subsidy system. However, the real challenge lies in implementing these policies effectively and managing the transition toward a more sustainable and efficient industry. Experts like Meng Xianji and Lu Jinbiao emphasize the importance of policy coordination, market mechanisms, and technological advancement. They stress that the industry needs to move beyond short-term fixes and focus on long-term structural reforms. For example, the current emphasis on improving conversion efficiency and reducing production costs is critical for maintaining competitiveness in the global market. Another major concern is the raw material supply chain. Although China has built a complete PV manufacturing system, there are still gaps in silicon material production. Despite being the world's largest producer of polysilicon, China still relies heavily on imports, which poses risks in terms of supply stability and cost control. Mergers and acquisitions are seen as a way to address overcapacity, but they are challenging, especially for smaller firms with outdated technology. As one expert noted, some companies invested billions in building production lines that are now unprofitable due to high operating costs and low margins. Finally, the issue of subsidies remains a central topic. With the current renewable energy surcharge at 8 cents per kWh, the gap between available funds and required support is growing. Experts suggest that increasing the surcharge is essential to meet the financial needs of the industry. At the same time, clear regulations and longer subsidy periods—such as the 20-year guarantee outlined in the "Opinions"—are vital for attracting investment and ensuring long-term sustainability. Overall, the new policies represent a step forward, but their success will depend on effective implementation, continued innovation, and a balanced approach to both domestic and international markets.

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